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SL
Championship | Gameweek 5
Aug 24, 2019 at 3pm UK
bet365 Stadium
LL

Stoke
0 - 3
Leeds

 
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dallas (42'), Alioski (50'), Bamford (66')
Nketiah (80'), Phillips (90+4')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 53.84%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 22.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.75%) and 0-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Stoke City win it was 1-0 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawLeeds United
22.38%23.78%53.84%
Both teams to score 52.68%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.86%48.13%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.7%70.29%
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.08%35.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.3%72.69%
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.2%17.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.49%48.51%
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 22.38%
    Leeds United 53.84%
    Draw 23.77%
Stoke CityDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 6.54%
2-1 @ 5.78%
2-0 @ 3.35%
3-1 @ 1.97%
3-2 @ 1.7%
3-0 @ 1.14%
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 22.38%
1-1 @ 11.29%
0-0 @ 6.39%
2-2 @ 4.99%
3-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.77%
0-1 @ 11.03%
1-2 @ 9.75%
0-2 @ 9.52%
1-3 @ 5.61%
0-3 @ 5.48%
2-3 @ 2.87%
1-4 @ 2.42%
0-4 @ 2.37%
2-4 @ 1.24%
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 53.84%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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