SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 70.14%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Al Riyadh had a probability of 12.77%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 1-0 (8.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.84%), while for an Al Riyadh win it was 1-2 (3.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Al Ittihad in this match.
| Result | ||
| Al Ittihad | Draw | Al Riyadh |
70.14% ( 2.02) | 17.09% ( -0.62) | 12.77% ( -1.41) |
| Both teams to score 55.79% ( -1.91) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.63% ( -0.47) | 34.36% ( 0.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.72% ( -0.53) | 56.28% ( 0.53) |
| Al Ittihad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.23% ( 0.33) | 8.76% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.9% ( 0.81) | 30.1% ( -0.81) |
| Al Riyadh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.15% ( -2.32) | 38.85% ( 2.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.41% ( -2.27) | 75.58% ( 2.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Ittihad | Draw | Al Riyadh |
| 2-0 @ 10.09% ( 0.54) 2-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.08)1-0 @ 8.29% ( 0.32)3-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.56)3-1 @ 7.74% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.41)4-1 @ 4.71% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.21)5-0 @ 2.43% ( 0.24)5-1 @ 2.29% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.09)5-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.03)6-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.11)6-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.99% Total : 70.14% | 1-1 @ 7.84% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.33)0-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.18% Total : 17.09% | 1-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.34) 0-1 @ 3.22% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.16)2-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.2)1-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.19)Other @ 1.74% Total : 12.77% |
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