Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albacete win with a probability of 39.08%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 30.5% and a draw had a probability of 30.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Albacete win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.91%) and 2-1 (7.38%). The likeliest Alaves win was 0-1 (12.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
0.19) 
-0.04) 
