SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 53.74%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 23.3% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.6%) and 0-2 (8.74%). The likeliest Almere City win was 2-1 (6.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Almere City | Draw | FC Twente |
23.3% ( 0.34) | 22.96% ( 0.18) | 53.74% ( -0.52) |
| Both teams to score 56.51% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.38% ( -0.43) | 43.62% ( 0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.99% ( -0.43) | 66.01% ( 0.43) |
| Almere City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.42% ( 0.06) | 32.58% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.88% ( 0.07) | 69.12% ( -0.07) |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.81% ( -0.34) | 16.19% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.34% ( -0.62) | 45.66% ( 0.62) |
| Score Analysis |
| Almere City | Draw | FC Twente |
| 2-1 @ 6.04% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 5.91% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 3.32% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 2.26% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.06% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.48% Total : 23.3% | 1-1 @ 10.76% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.27% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.95% | 1-2 @ 9.81% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 8.74% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 5.95% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 5.31% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 3.34% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 2.71% ( -0.07)0-4 @ 2.42% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.04)1-5 @ 0.99% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.36% Total : 53.74% |
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