With the two sides separated by just one point, we expect Sunday's contest to be a closely-fought affair, and while Aston Villa will want to claim their first home win of the WSL season, we think that they will have to settle for a draw against a Brighton team that usually fare well in away games against the Villans. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Women win with a probability of 67.85%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion Women had a probability of 15.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.88%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.08%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion Women win it was 1-2 (4.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa Women would win this match.

Result
Aston Villa Women	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion Women
67.85% ( 2.8)	16.94% ( -0.93)	15.2% ( -1.87)

Both teams to score 63.74% (

-0.86)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

72.37% (

0.81)

27.63% (

-0.8)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

51.72% (

48.28% (

-1)

Aston Villa Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.47% (

0.78)

7.54% (

-0.78)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

72.98% (

1.99)

27.02% (

-1.98)

Brighton & Hove Albion Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.94% (

-1.53)

31.07% (

1.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.62% (

-1.83)

67.38% (

1.83)

Score Analysis

Aston Villa Women 67.85%

Brighton & Hove Albion Women 15.2%

Draw 16.94%

Aston Villa Women	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion Women
2-1 @ 9.15% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 7.88% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 7.83% ( 0.23) 3-0 @ 6.74% ( 0.45) 1-0 @ 6.05% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 5.1% ( 0.32) 3-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.45) 4-2 @ 2.98% ( 0.07) 5-1 @ 2.64% ( 0.26) 5-0 @ 2.25% ( 0.31) 5-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.09) 4-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.02) 6-1 @ 1.14% ( 0.15) 6-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.16) Other @ 3.46% Total : 67.85%	1-1 @ 7.08% ( -0.38) 2-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.3) 0-0 @ 2.34% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.38% Total : 16.94%	1-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.41) 0-1 @ 2.74% ( -0.26) 2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.21) 1-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.24) 0-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.23) Other @ 3.03% Total : 15.2%