This has all of the makings of a fascinating match, and we are expecting Athletic to cause the Catalan outfit problems on Sunday night. Barcelona will again be missing a number of important players, but we are backing Xavi's side to navigate their way to all three points in this contest.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 59.39%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 18.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.4%), while for an Athletic Bilbao win it was 0-1 (5.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Barcelona in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Barcelona.
0.08) 
-0.04) 
