SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 53.96%. A win for Galatasaray had a probability of 24.84% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7%) and 1-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Galatasaray win was 1-2 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bayern Munich in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bayern Munich.
| Result | ||
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Galatasaray |
53.96% ( 0.04) | 21.19% ( -0.01) | 24.84% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 64.75% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.39% ( 0.03) | 33.6% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.58% ( 0.03) | 55.41% ( -0.03) |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.34% ( 0.02) | 12.65% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.19% ( 0.05) | 38.81% ( -0.05) |
| Galatasaray Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.13% ( -0.01) | 25.87% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.15% ( -0.01) | 60.85% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Galatasaray |
| 2-1 @ 9.46% 2-0 @ 7% ( 0)1-0 @ 6.77% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.52% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.82% ( 0)3-2 @ 4.41% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.37% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.49% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.28% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.39% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.03% ( 0)4-3 @ 1.03% ( 0)5-2 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 2.47% Total : 53.96% | 1-1 @ 9.15% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.39% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.27% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.99% ( 0)Other @ 0.39% Total : 21.19% | 1-2 @ 6.19% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.43% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.99% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.88% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.79% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.35% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.97% 1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 2.31% Total : 24.84% |
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