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EFL Trophy | Third Round
Jan 10, 2024 at 7pm UK
Bloomfield Road (Blackpool, Lancashire)
BA

Blackpool
2 - 1
Burton Albion

Virtue (4'), Ekpiteta (67')
Dale (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Scott (71')
Brayford (69'), Sweeney (90+7')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Blackpool 2-1 Burton Albion

Blackpool did not end 2023 as they would have hoped, but the Tangerines have since made a bright start to the New Year and will fancy their chances of success on Wednesday considering their strong run of form at Bloomfield Road. The visitors Burton, meanwhile, have only lost one of their last five games under caretaker boss Mills and know what it takes to grind out a positive result against Blackpool, but we believe that the hosts will get their revenge this time around to secure their place in the quarter-finals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackpool win with a probability of 63.34%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 16.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackpool win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.24%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.62%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (4.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Blackpool in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Blackpool.

Result
BlackpoolDrawBurton Albion
63.34% (0.45800000000001 0.46) 20.39% (-0.044999999999998 -0.04) 16.27% (-0.415 -0.42)
Both teams to score 53.16% (-0.771 -0.77)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.74% (-0.565 -0.56)42.26% (0.563 0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.33% (-0.567 -0.57)64.67% (0.566 0.57)
Blackpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.29% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)12.7% (0.041 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.09% (-0.086999999999996 -0.09)38.91% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.9% (-0.851 -0.85)39.1% (0.84999999999999 0.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.18% (-0.811 -0.81)75.81% (0.80800000000001 0.81)
Score Analysis
    Blackpool 63.33%
    Burton Albion 16.27%
    Draw 20.39%
BlackpoolDrawBurton Albion
2-0 @ 10.57% (0.23 0.23)
1-0 @ 10.24% (0.24 0.24)
2-1 @ 9.93% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.27% (0.148 0.15)
3-1 @ 6.83% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
4-0 @ 3.75% (0.07 0.07)
4-1 @ 3.52% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.21% (-0.084 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.65% (-0.046 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.55% (0.027 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.45% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 63.33%
1-1 @ 9.62% (0.004999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 4.97% (0.124 0.12)
2-2 @ 4.66% (-0.114 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 20.39%
0-1 @ 4.66% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.52% (-0.103 -0.1)
0-2 @ 2.19% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.46% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.42% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 16.27%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 2-2 Blackpool
Sunday, January 7 at 2pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Blackpool 2-0 Lincoln
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Port Vale 3-0 Blackpool
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 1-0 Blackpool
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Blackpool 3-1 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Blackpool 3-0 Forest Green
Tuesday, December 19 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Burton Albion 1-1 Wycombe
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 1-0 Burton Albion
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 1-0 Shrewsbury
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 1-0 Blackpool
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Charlton 1-1 Burton Albion
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 3-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League One


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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