Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 49.27%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 26.74% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-2 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bolton Wanderers in this match.
-0.06) 
0.09) 
