Women's Super League | Gameweek 20
Apr 28, 2024 at 6.45pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 92.54%. A draw had a probability of 5.7% and a win for Bristol City Women had a probability of 1.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 0-3 with a probability of 14.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-4 (12.67%) and 0-2 (11.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.7%), while for a Bristol City Women win it was 1-0 (0.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.
| Result |
| Bristol City Women | Draw | Manchester City Women |
1.74% ( 0.02) | 5.72% ( 0.07) | 92.54% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 32.69% ( -0.14) |
| 76.12% ( -0.32) | 23.88% ( 0.32) |
| 56.56% ( -0.42) | 43.44% ( 0.42) |
| 33.62% ( -0.13) | 66.38% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 6.42% ( -0.05) | 93.58% ( 0.05) |
| Manchester City Women Goals |
| 97.23% ( -0.06) | 2.77% ( 0.05) |
