Shrewsbury have only won one of their last five matches against Bristol Rovers and have been beaten in 11 of their 19 away league matches this season. We are expecting Monday's affair to be tight but believe that Bristol Rovers have enough quality to secure a vital three points on home soil.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 53.07%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 23.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.33%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (6.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
0.49) 
-0.13) 
