Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 52.39%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 23.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (6.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
0.09) 
-0.02) 
