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League Two
May 28, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
Wembley Stadium
SC

Carlisle
1 - 1
Stockport

Carlisle win 5-4 on penalties
Patrick (84')
Mellish (24'), Charters (90+2')
FT
(aet)
Mellish (34' og.)
Collar (105+2')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Carlisle 3-1 Bradford
Saturday, May 20 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 36.7%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 35.54% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.89%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (10.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%).

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawStockport County
35.54% (0.042000000000002 0.04) 27.76% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 36.7% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 48.52% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.64% (0.042000000000002 0.04)57.36% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.82% (0.033000000000001 0.03)78.18% (-0.030999999999992 -0.03)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.29% (0.046999999999997 0.05)30.71% (-0.046000000000003 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.04% (0.056000000000004 0.06)66.96% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.02% (0.0010000000000048 0)29.98% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.9% (0.0010000000000048 0)66.1%
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 35.54%
    Stockport County 36.7%
    Draw 27.76%
Carlisle UnitedDrawStockport County
1-0 @ 10.87%
2-1 @ 7.73% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.42% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.04% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.53% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.83% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 35.54%
1-1 @ 13.09%
0-0 @ 9.21% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.66% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.76%
0-1 @ 11.09% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.89% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 6.68% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.17% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.68% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.87% (0.002 0)
1-4 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 36.7%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Carlisle 3-1 Bradford
Saturday, May 20 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Bradford 1-0 Carlisle
Sunday, May 14 at 7pm in League Two
Last Game: Sutton 1-1 Carlisle
Monday, May 8 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 2-3 Salford City
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Barrow 0-1 Carlisle
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 2-2 Stockport
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Stockport 2-1 Salford City (3-1 pen.)
Saturday, May 20 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 1-0 Stockport
Saturday, May 13 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Stockport 1-1 Hartlepool
Monday, May 8 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Leyton Orient 0-3 Stockport
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Stockport 1-0 Rochdale
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 2-2 Stockport
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in League Two


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