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Chinese Super League | Gameweek 14
Jul 3, 2023 at 12.35pm UK
Changchun's People Stadium
H

Changchun
3 - 1
Henan

Long (9'), Sunjic (40' og.), Zulj (51')
Jinxian (62'), Long (89')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Covic (45+2' pen.)
Cao (44')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Shandong 4-1 Changchun
Thursday, June 29 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Cangzhou 0-1 Henan
Wednesday, June 28 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League

We said: Changchun Yatai 2-1 Henan Songshan Longmen

The respective attacking and defensive records of these teams means that we should see an intriguing clash in styles, and Henan may relish soaking up any pressure coming from their free-scoring opponents. However, we feel that Changchun may just edge this contest, potentially in the closing stages when the visitors are settling for a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Henan Songshan Longmen win with a probability of 36.61%. A win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 35.76% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Henan Songshan Longmen win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.91%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Changchun Yatai win was 1-0 (10.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Changchun Yatai would win this match.

Result
Changchun YataiDrawHenan Songshan Longmen
35.76% (0.385 0.38) 27.63% (-0.1 -0.1) 36.61% (-0.282 -0.28)
Both teams to score 48.94% (0.32700000000001 0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.16% (0.399 0.4)56.84% (-0.398 -0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.23% (0.319 0.32)77.77% (-0.318 -0.32)
Changchun Yatai Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.69% (0.443 0.44)30.31% (-0.441 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.51% (0.526 0.53)66.49% (-0.523 -0.52)
Henan Songshan Longmen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.22% (0.024000000000001 0.02)29.78% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.15% (0.028000000000006 0.03)65.85% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Changchun Yatai 35.75%
    Henan Songshan Longmen 36.61%
    Draw 27.63%
Changchun YataiDrawHenan Songshan Longmen
1-0 @ 10.77% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 7.79% (0.076 0.08)
2-0 @ 6.43% (0.059 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.1% (0.067 0.07)
3-0 @ 2.56% (0.054 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.88% (0.042 0.04)
4-1 @ 0.93% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 35.75%
1-1 @ 13.05% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 9.03% (-0.138 -0.14)
2-2 @ 4.72% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.63%
0-1 @ 10.93% (-0.16 -0.16)
1-2 @ 7.91% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.62% (-0.093 -0.09)
1-3 @ 3.19% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
0-3 @ 2.67% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.91% (0.021 0.02)
1-4 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 36.61%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Shandong 4-1 Changchun
Thursday, June 29 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Changchun 4-1 Shenzhen
Thursday, June 8 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Beijing Guoan 4-3 Changchun
Friday, June 2 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Changchun 0-3 Shanghai Port
Monday, May 29 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Changchun 1-0 Qingdao Jonoon
Tuesday, May 23 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Cangzhou 2-4 Changchun
Friday, May 19 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Cangzhou 0-1 Henan
Wednesday, June 28 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Henan 2-2 Zhejiang
Friday, June 9 at 10.30am in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Henan 2-1 Meizhou Hakka
Saturday, June 3 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Sh. Shenhua 1-1 Henan
Sunday, May 28 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Shanghai Port 3-2 Henan
Wednesday, May 24 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Henan 1-0 Dalian Pro
Saturday, May 20 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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