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Chinese Super League | Gameweek 9
May 1, 2024 at 8.30am UK
Changchun's People Stadium

Changchun
1 - 1
Sichuan

Beric (46')
Shenyuan (27'), Guilherme (45'), Wu (73')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Dugalic (76')
Yudong (19'), Orr (84')
Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Changchun Yatai and Sichuan Jiuniu.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Changchun 0-1 Meizhou Hakka
Friday, April 26 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Sichuan 1-3 Qingdao Hainiu
Friday, April 26 at 12pm in Chinese Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sichuan Jiuniu win with a probability of 53.39%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 21.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sichuan Jiuniu win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.03%) and 1-2 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Changchun Yatai win it was 1-0 (7.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result
Changchun YataiDrawSichuan Jiuniu
21.97% (-0.413 -0.41) 24.64% (0.676 0.68) 53.39% (-0.26 -0.26)
Both teams to score 49.54% (-2.57 -2.57)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.96% (-3.141 -3.14)52.04% (3.144 3.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.23% (-2.779 -2.78)73.77% (2.783 2.78)
Changchun Yatai Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.5% (-2.167 -2.17)38.5% (2.169 2.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.75% (-2.13 -2.13)75.25% (2.133 2.13)
Sichuan Jiuniu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.56% (-1.294 -1.29)19.44% (1.297 1.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.72% (-2.166 -2.17)51.28% (2.168 2.17)
Score Analysis
    Changchun Yatai 21.97%
    Sichuan Jiuniu 53.38%
    Draw 24.64%
Changchun YataiDrawSichuan Jiuniu
1-0 @ 7.14% (0.469 0.47)
2-1 @ 5.58% (-0.183 -0.18)
2-0 @ 3.41% (0.031 0.03)
3-1 @ 1.78% (-0.169 -0.17)
3-2 @ 1.46% (-0.206 -0.21)
3-0 @ 1.09% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 21.97%
1-1 @ 11.7% (0.31 0.31)
0-0 @ 7.49% (0.893 0.89)
2-2 @ 4.57% (-0.349 -0.35)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 24.64%
0-1 @ 12.25% (1 1)
0-2 @ 10.03% (0.428 0.43)
1-2 @ 9.58% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-3 @ 5.48% (0.017 0.02)
1-3 @ 5.23% (-0.3 -0.3)
2-3 @ 2.5% (-0.304 -0.3)
0-4 @ 2.24% (-0.087 -0.09)
1-4 @ 2.14% (-0.218 -0.22)
2-4 @ 1.02% (-0.173 -0.17)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 53.38%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Changchun 0-1 Meizhou Hakka
Friday, April 26 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Wuhan TT 0-0 Changchun
Saturday, April 20 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Changchun 1-2 Chengdu
Sunday, April 14 at 8.30am in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Cangzhou 2-0 Changchun
Wednesday, April 10 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Changchun 1-2 Sh. Shenhua
Friday, April 5 at 8.30am in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Changchun 0-1 Tianjin Jinmen
Sunday, March 31 at 8.30am in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Sichuan 1-3 Qingdao Hainiu
Friday, April 26 at 12pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Chengdu 3-1 Sichuan
Saturday, April 20 at 12pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Sichuan 1-1 Wuhan TT
Sunday, April 14 at 1pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Beijing Guoan 1-2 Sichuan
Tuesday, April 9 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Henan 0-2 Sichuan
Friday, April 5 at 12pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Sichuan 2-2 Cangzhou
Friday, March 29 at 11.35am in Chinese Super League


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