Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 43.33%. A win for CD Guadalajara had a probability of 30.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest CD Guadalajara win was 0-1 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruz Azul would win this match.

Result
Cruz Azul	Draw	CD Guadalajara
43.33% ( -0.64)	26.25% ( 0.06)	30.41% ( 0.58)

Both teams to score 51.86% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.48% (

-0.02)

52.52% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.81% (

-0.01)

74.19% (

0.02)

Cruz Azul Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.93% (

-0.32)

24.07% (

0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.65% (

-0.46)

58.35% (

0.46)

CD Guadalajara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.3% (

0.41)

31.7% (

-0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.88% (

0.46)

68.12% (

-0.46)

Score Analysis

Cruz Azul 43.33%

CD Guadalajara 30.41%

Draw 26.25%

Cruz Azul	Draw	CD Guadalajara
1-0 @ 10.86% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 8.89% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 7.74% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 4.22% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 3.67% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.71% Total : 43.33%	1-1 @ 12.48% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.63% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.25%	0-1 @ 8.77% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 7.17% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.81% Total : 30.41%