Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 47.98%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 27.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 0-1 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.

Result
Dunfermline Athletic	Draw	Arbroath
47.98% ( -1.92)	24.67% ( 0.61)	27.35% ( 1.31)

Both teams to score 54.97% (

-0.85)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.43% (

-1.65)

47.57% (

1.65)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.23% (

-1.54)

69.77% (

1.55)

Dunfermline Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.12% (

-1.42)

19.88% (

1.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.01% (

-2.35)

51.99% (

2.35)

Arbroath Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.61% (

0.16)

31.39% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.24% (

0.18)

67.77% (

-0.17)

Score Analysis

Dunfermline Athletic 47.98%

Arbroath 27.35%

Draw 24.67%

Dunfermline Athletic	Draw	Arbroath
1-0 @ 10.08% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 8.14% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 5.08% ( -0.32) 3-0 @ 4.39% ( -0.3) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.17) 4-1 @ 2.05% ( -0.23) 4-0 @ 1.77% ( -0.21) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.9% Total : 47.98%	1-1 @ 11.68% ( 0.33) 0-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.42) 2-2 @ 5.47% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.67%	0-1 @ 7.23% ( 0.51) 1-2 @ 6.77% ( 0.22) 0-2 @ 4.19% ( 0.31) 1-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.13) Other @ 2.82% Total : 27.35%