Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 63.75%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Dordrecht had a probability of 15.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.52%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.93%), while for a Dordrecht win it was 0-1 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
0.24) 
-0.11) 
