Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 61.01%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for LDU Quito had a probability of 16.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.46%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a LDU Quito win it was 0-1 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.
1.28) 
-0.57) 
