Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 41.26%. A win for Palmeiras had a probability of 30.66% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Palmeiras win was 0-1 (10.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.

Result
Fluminense	Draw	Palmeiras
41.26% ( -2.96)	28.08% ( 0.35)	30.66% ( 2.61)

Both teams to score 46.57% (

0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.69% (

-0.25)

59.31% (

0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.29% (

-0.2)

79.71% (

0.2)

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.73% (

-1.71)

28.27% (

1.71)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.01% (

-2.21)

63.99% (

2.21)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.93% (

1.9)

35.07% (

-1.9)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.18% (

1.94)

71.82% (

-1.94)

Score Analysis

Fluminense 41.26%

Palmeiras 30.66%

Draw 28.07%

Fluminense	Draw	Palmeiras
1-0 @ 12.52% ( -0.49) 2-1 @ 8.29% ( -0.3) 2-0 @ 7.91% ( -0.72) 3-1 @ 3.49% ( -0.3) 3-0 @ 3.33% ( -0.48) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.16) 4-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.21) Other @ 1.73% Total : 41.26%	1-1 @ 13.12% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 9.92% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.7% Total : 28.07%	0-1 @ 10.39% ( 0.62) 1-2 @ 6.88% ( 0.43) 0-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.58) 1-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.26) 0-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.29) 2-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.13% Total : 30.66%