SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 37.39%. A win for Forfar Athletic had a probability of 36.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest Forfar Athletic win was 1-0 (9.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stenhousemuir would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Forfar Athletic | Draw | Stenhousemuir |
36.22% ( -0.26) | 26.39% ( 0.05) | 37.39% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 52.92% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.16% ( -0.2) | 51.84% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.4% ( -0.17) | 73.6% ( 0.17) |
| Forfar Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.41% ( -0.25) | 27.59% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.88% ( -0.32) | 63.12% ( 0.32) |
| Stenhousemuir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.09% ( 0.03) | 26.92% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.76% ( 0.04) | 62.24% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Forfar Athletic | Draw | Stenhousemuir |
| 1-0 @ 9.56% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.08% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 6.16% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.47% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.64% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.92% Total : 36.22% | 1-1 @ 12.55% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.43% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 5.3% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.39% | 0-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 8.24% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.4% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 3.6% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.18% ( 0)0-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.19% Total : 37.39% |
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