SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham Under-21s win with a probability of 70.64%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 13.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.04%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.19%), while for a Derby County Under-21s win it was 1-2 (3.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Fulham Under-21s in this match.
| Result | ||
| Fulham Under-21s | Draw | Derby County Under-21s |
70.64% ( -0.1) | 15.59% ( 0.04) | 13.77% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 65.5% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 76.02% ( -0.07) | 23.98% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 56.43% ( -0.1) | 43.57% ( 0.1) |
| Fulham Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.87% ( -0.03) | 6.13% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 76.75% ( -0.1) | 23.25% ( 0.1) |
| Derby County Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.78% ( 0.02) | 30.23% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.61% ( 0.02) | 66.39% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fulham Under-21s | Draw | Derby County Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 8.64% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 8.04% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.72% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 5.61% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 5.17% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 4.81% 4-0 @ 4.69% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 3.13% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 2.62% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.01)6-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 1.34% ( -0)6-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.73% Total : 70.64% | 1-1 @ 6.19% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.92% ( 0)0-0 @ 1.85% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.46% Total : 15.59% | 1-2 @ 3.7% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 2.22% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.06% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.98% Total : 13.77% |
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