SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 38.92%. A win for Greuther Furth had a probability of 38.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.16%) and 0-2 (5.1%). The likeliest Greuther Furth win was 2-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Greuther Furth | Draw | Hamburger SV |
38.03% ( -0.03) | 23.05% ( 0.11) | 38.92% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 65.17% ( -0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.91% ( -0.54) | 36.08% ( 0.54) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.81% ( -0.6) | 58.19% ( 0.6) |
| Greuther Furth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.52% ( -0.25) | 19.48% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.66% ( -0.41) | 51.34% ( 0.41) |
| Hamburger SV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.93% ( -0.27) | 19.07% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.33% ( -0.45) | 50.67% ( 0.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| Greuther Furth | Draw | Hamburger SV |
| 2-1 @ 8.24% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 4.97% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 4.49% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.72% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.71% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.84% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.11% ( -0)Other @ 3.36% Total : 38.03% | 1-1 @ 10.06% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.82% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 3.71% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.39% Total : 23.04% | 1-2 @ 8.34% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.16% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 5.1% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 4.61% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.82% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.91% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.49% Total : 38.92% |
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