Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Halifax Town win with a probability of 36.84%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 36.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Halifax Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.29%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 0-1 (9.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Halifax Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Halifax Town | Draw | Hartlepool United |
36.84% ( 1.82) | 26.4% ( 0.31) | 36.75% ( -2.13) |
Both teams to score 52.88% ( -0.91) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.1% ( -1.21) | 51.89% ( 1.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.35% ( -1.05) | 73.65% ( 1.05) |
Halifax Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.74% ( 0.5) | 27.26% ( -0.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.31% ( 0.65) | 62.68% ( -0.65) |
Hartlepool United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.69% ( -1.76) | 27.31% ( 1.76) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.24% ( -2.34) | 62.75% ( 2.34) |
Score Analysis |
Halifax Town | Draw | Hartlepool United |
1-0 @ 9.68% ( 0.59) 2-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 6.29% ( 0.46) 3-1 @ 3.54% ( 0.14) 3-0 @ 2.73% ( 0.24) 3-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.01% Total : 36.84% | 1-1 @ 12.55% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 7.44% ( 0.35) 2-2 @ 5.3% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.4% | 0-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.15% ( -0.31) 0-2 @ 6.27% ( -0.33) 1-3 @ 3.53% ( -0.32) 0-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.29) 2-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.18) 1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.17) Other @ 3% Total : 36.75% |
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