SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zhejiang Professional win with a probability of 40.84%. A win for Nantong Zhiyun had a probability of 32.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zhejiang Professional win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Nantong Zhiyun win was 0-1 (9.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Zhejiang Professional | Draw | Nantong Zhiyun |
40.84% ( -0.51) | 26.89% ( 0.13) | 32.26% ( 0.38) |
| Both teams to score 50.6% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.53% ( -0.41) | 54.47% ( 0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.17% ( -0.35) | 75.83% ( 0.34) |
| Zhejiang Professional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.77% ( -0.46) | 26.23% ( 0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.67% ( -0.62) | 61.33% ( 0.61) |
| Nantong Zhiyun Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.59% ( 0.05) | 31.4% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.22% ( 0.06) | 67.78% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zhejiang Professional | Draw | Nantong Zhiyun |
| 1-0 @ 11.02% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.54% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 7.38% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 3.81% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 3.29% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.21% Total : 40.84% | 1-1 @ 12.76% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 8.24% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.88% | 0-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 7.39% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 5.52% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.91% Total : 32.26% |
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