Twente have been quite solid at both ends of the pitch in recent weeks and they will fancy their chances of coming away with a first-leg advantage. We are tipping the visitors to get the job done come the end of the 90 minutes.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 48.23%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 28.04% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.79%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 2-1 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for FC Twente in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for FC Twente.
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