SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 51.6%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 26.31% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.38%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-2 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hibernian | Draw | St Johnstone |
51.6% ( 0.24) | 22.1% ( -0.39) | 26.31% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 62.96% ( 1.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.4% ( 1.97) | 36.61% ( -1.97) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.24% ( 2.12) | 58.76% ( -2.11) |
| Hibernian Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.58% ( 0.79) | 14.42% ( -0.78) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.65% ( 1.49) | 42.35% ( -1.49) |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.57% ( 1.14) | 26.43% ( -1.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.41% ( 1.5) | 61.6% ( -1.49) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hibernian | Draw | St Johnstone |
| 2-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 7.38% ( -0.51)2-0 @ 7.15% ( -0.29)3-1 @ 6.14% ( 0.12)3-0 @ 4.61% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 4.08% ( 0.21)4-1 @ 2.97% ( 0.14)4-0 @ 2.23% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.15)5-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.08)Other @ 4.4% Total : 51.6% | 1-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.35) 2-2 @ 6.33% ( 0.15)0-0 @ 3.81% ( -0.38)3-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.15)Other @ 0.32% Total : 22.1% | 1-2 @ 6.54% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.07% ( -0.33)0-2 @ 3.38% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 2.9% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.16)0-3 @ 1.5% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.06)2-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.22% Total : 26.31% |
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