SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Iraq | 2 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Japan | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Indonesia | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Vietnam | 2 | -3 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 59.44%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Indonesia had a probability of 19.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.4%) and 1-0 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.89%), while for a Indonesia win it was 1-2 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Japan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Japan | Draw | Indonesia |
59.44% ( -0.93) | 21.22% ( 0.45) | 19.34% ( 0.48) |
| Both teams to score 56.51% ( -0.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.18% ( -1.31) | 40.82% ( 1.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.79% ( -1.35) | 63.2% ( 1.35) |
| Japan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.61% ( -0.69) | 13.39% ( 0.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.68% ( -1.4) | 40.31% ( 1.4) |
| Indonesia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.25% ( -0.27) | 34.74% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.52% ( -0.28) | 71.47% ( 0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Japan | Draw | Indonesia |
| 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.4% ( 0.08)1-0 @ 9.35% ( 0.32)3-1 @ 6.66% ( -0.17)3-0 @ 6.3% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 3.35% ( -0.17)4-0 @ 3.17% ( -0.14)4-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.11)5-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.11)5-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.09)Other @ 3.35% Total : 59.44% | 1-1 @ 9.89% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 5.26% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.27)3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.22% | 1-2 @ 5.23% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 4.92% ( 0.26)0-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.98% Total : 19.34% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
