SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 42.37%. A win for Kaiserslautern had a probability of 35.2% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.81%) and 0-2 (5.24%). The likeliest Kaiserslautern win was 2-1 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kaiserslautern | Draw | Hamburger SV |
35.2% ( 0.03) | 22.43% ( 0.03) | 42.37% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 67.19% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.7% ( -0.15) | 33.3% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.94% ( -0.17) | 55.06% ( 0.17) |
| Kaiserslautern Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.42% ( -0.05) | 19.57% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.5% ( -0.09) | 51.5% ( 0.09) |
| Hamburger SV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.54% ( -0.09) | 16.46% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.85% ( -0.15) | 46.15% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kaiserslautern | Draw | Hamburger SV |
| 2-1 @ 7.73% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 4.28% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.2% 3-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.33% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.71% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 0.95% ( 0)4-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.47% Total : 35.2% | 1-1 @ 9.48% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.98% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.22% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.47% Total : 22.43% | 1-2 @ 8.55% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.81% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 5.24% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 5.15% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 4.2% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.15% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.32% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.89% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.42% ( -0)3-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.6% Total : 42.37% |
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