Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 51.65%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for KF Tirana had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.63%) and 0-2 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a KF Tirana win it was 1-0 (6.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.
0.08) 
-0.08) 
