SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sint-Truiden win with a probability of 39.6%. A win for Kortrijk had a probability of 33.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sint-Truiden win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Kortrijk win was 1-0 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sint-Truiden in this match.
| Result | ||
| Kortrijk | Draw | Sint-Truiden |
33.64% ( 0.3) | 26.75% ( -0.11) | 39.6% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 51.41% ( 0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.4% ( 0.48) | 53.6% ( -0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.89% ( 0.41) | 75.1% ( -0.41) |
| Kortrijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.95% ( 0.44) | 30.05% ( -0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.82% ( 0.52) | 66.18% ( -0.52) |
| Sint-Truiden Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.5% ( 0.12) | 26.5% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.31% ( 0.16) | 61.69% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kortrijk | Draw | Sint-Truiden |
| 1-0 @ 9.57% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 7.64% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.06% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.03% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.35% Total : 33.65% | 1-1 @ 12.71% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.96% ( -0.15)2-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 0.9% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.75% | 0-1 @ 10.57% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 8.44% ( -0)0-2 @ 7.02% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 3.74% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.11% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.2% Total : 39.6% |
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