SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 78.62%. A draw had a probability of 13.8% and a win for Loughgall had a probability of 7.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.74%) and 1-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.52%), while for a Loughgall win it was 0-1 (2.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Larne | Draw | Loughgall |
78.62% ( 0.2) | 13.78% ( -0.11) | 7.61% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 47.42% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.44% ( 0.24) | 34.56% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.51% ( 0.27) | 56.5% ( -0.26) |
| Larne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.98% ( 0.09) | 7.02% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 74.34% ( 0.24) | 25.67% ( -0.24) |
| Loughgall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51% ( -0.04) | 49% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.05% ( -0.03) | 83.96% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Larne | Draw | Loughgall |
| 2-0 @ 12.13% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 10.74% ( 0.03)1-0 @ 9.14% ( -0.06)2-1 @ 8.66% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 7.67% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 7.14% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 5.09% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 3.79% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.74% ( 0)5-1 @ 2.71% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.82% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 1.68% ( 0.03)6-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.02)5-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.16% Total : 78.61% | 1-1 @ 6.52% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 3.44% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.73% Total : 13.78% | 0-1 @ 2.45% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.83% Total : 7.61% |
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