Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mirandes win with a probability of 37.95%. A win for Granada had a probability of 33.37% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mirandes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.81%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Granada win was 0-1 (11.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
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