Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 44.11%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 30.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 0-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
-0.02) 
0.02) 
