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Liga MX | Gameweek 11
Mar 11, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio BBVA Bancomer

Monterrey
2 - 1
Mazatlan

Arteaga (18'), Berterame (38')
Cortizo (29'), Cortizo (29'), Andrada (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Amarilla (59')
Diaz (78'), Arciga (90+6')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Monterrey and Mazatlan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cincinnati 0-1 Monterrey
Friday, March 8 at 12am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Mazatlan 2-1 Necaxa
Saturday, March 2 at 3am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 76.51%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Mazatlan had a probability of 8.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.89%) and 3-0 (10.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.27%), while for a Mazatlan win it was 0-1 (2.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monterrey would win this match.

Result
MonterreyDrawMazatlan
76.51% (0.10299999999999 0.1) 15.29% (0.12 0.12) 8.2% (-0.226 -0.23)
Both teams to score 44.46% (-1.534 -1.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.1% (-1.423 -1.42)39.9% (1.42 1.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.74% (-1.491 -1.49)62.26% (1.488 1.49)
Monterrey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.3% (-0.31700000000001 -0.32)8.69% (0.314 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.07% (-0.77600000000001 -0.78)29.93% (0.773 0.77)
Mazatlan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.69% (-1.508 -1.51)51.31% (1.505 1.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.45% (-1.027 -1.03)85.54% (1.025 1.03)
Score Analysis
    Monterrey 76.49%
    Mazatlan 8.2%
    Draw 15.29%
MonterreyDrawMazatlan
2-0 @ 13.3% (0.48 0.48)
1-0 @ 10.89% (0.55 0.55)
3-0 @ 10.83% (0.23 0.23)
2-1 @ 8.88% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)
3-1 @ 7.23% (-0.16 -0.16)
4-0 @ 6.62% (0.044 0.04)
4-1 @ 4.42% (-0.166 -0.17)
5-0 @ 3.23% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.41% (-0.164 -0.16)
5-1 @ 2.16% (-0.115 -0.12)
4-2 @ 1.47% (-0.124 -0.12)
6-0 @ 1.32% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 76.49%
1-1 @ 7.27% (0.058 0.06)
0-0 @ 4.46% (0.288 0.29)
2-2 @ 2.96% (-0.154 -0.15)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 15.29%
0-1 @ 2.98% (0.067 0.07)
1-2 @ 2.43% (-0.088 -0.09)
0-2 @ 0.99% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 8.2%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Cincinnati 0-1 Monterrey
Friday, March 8 at 12am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Monterrey 3-0 Pumas
Monday, March 4 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Tijuana 1-1 Monterrey
Thursday, February 29 at 3am in Liga MX
Last Game: Juarez 0-3 Monterrey
Saturday, February 24 at 3.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Monterrey 0-0 Toluca
Monday, February 19 at 2.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Monterrey 3-0 Comunicaciones
Friday, February 16 at 3.15am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Mazatlan 2-1 Necaxa
Saturday, March 2 at 3am in Liga MX
Last Game: Santos Laguna 1-0 Mazatlan
Monday, February 26 at 12am in Liga MX
Last Game: America 2-2 Mazatlan
Thursday, February 22 at 3am in Liga MX
Last Game: Mazatlan 2-2 Guadalajara
Saturday, February 17 at 3am in Liga MX
Last Game: Mazatlan 2-0 Atlas
Saturday, February 10 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Puebla 3-2 Mazatlan
Saturday, February 3 at 3am in Liga MX


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