Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Paderborn win with a probability of 42.98%. A win for Fortuna Dusseldorf had a probability of 33.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a SC Paderborn win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.81%) and 2-0 (5.87%). The likeliest Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 1-2 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.26%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SC Paderborn would win this match.

Result
SC Paderborn	Draw	Fortuna Dusseldorf
42.98% ( 0.35)	23.16% ( 0.21)	33.86% ( -0.56)

Both teams to score 63.96% (

-0.97)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.65% (

-1.2)

37.35% (

1.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.44% (

-1.31)

59.56% (

1.31)

SC Paderborn Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.15% (

-0.35)

17.85% (

0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.39% (

-0.6)

48.62% (

0.6)

Fortuna Dusseldorf Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.87% (

-0.85)

22.13% (

0.85)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.49% (

-1.3)

55.51% (

1.3)

Score Analysis

SC Paderborn 42.98%

Fortuna Dusseldorf 33.86%

Draw 23.16%

SC Paderborn	Draw	Fortuna Dusseldorf
2-1 @ 8.85% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 6.81% ( 0.32) 2-0 @ 5.87% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 5.08% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 3.37% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 2.19% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.45% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.89% Total : 42.98%	1-1 @ 10.26% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 6.67% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 3.95% ( 0.23) 3-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.35% Total : 23.16%	1-2 @ 7.74% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 5.96% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.89% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.47% ( -0.08) 2-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.43% Total : 33.86%