On their return to the top flight, Zwolle have a difficult challenge ahead of them against a Sparta side who over-performed last season. Sparta have retained much of that side, while Zwolle have lost some key players, so the visitors will be slight favourites. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 50.17%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 26.99% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.05%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-2 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Sparta Rotterdam in this match.

Result
PEC Zwolle	Draw	Sparta Rotterdam
50.17% ( -0.08)	22.83% ( -0.02)	26.99% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 60.94% (

0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.45% (

0.18)

39.55% (

-0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.1% (

0.19)

61.89% (

-0.2)

PEC Zwolle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.03% (

0.04)

15.97% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.73% (

0.07)

45.27% (

-0.08)

Sparta Rotterdam Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.52% (

0.17)

27.48% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.02% (

0.22)

62.97% (

-0.22)

Score Analysis

PEC Zwolle 50.17%

Sparta Rotterdam 27%

Draw 22.83%

PEC Zwolle	Draw	Sparta Rotterdam
2-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.05% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 7.38% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.83% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.52% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.77% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.68% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.07% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 3.63% Total : 50.17%	1-1 @ 10.39% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.16% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.39% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.83%	1-2 @ 6.72% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.67% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.66% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.89% Total : 27%