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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perth Glory win with a probability of 40.77%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 36.07% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Perth Glory win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.47%) and 2-0 (5.46%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Perth Glory | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
40.77% ( 0.24) | 23.15% ( -0.07) | 36.07% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 64.58% ( 0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.23% ( 0.35) | 36.77% ( -0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.06% ( 0.39) | 58.94% ( -0.38) |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.46% ( 0.25) | 18.54% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.21% ( 0.43) | 49.79% ( -0.42) |
| Newcastle Jets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.28% ( 0.08) | 20.72% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.66% ( 0.12) | 53.33% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Perth Glory | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
| 2-1 @ 8.59% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.47% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 5.46% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.82% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.8% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.06% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.03% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.65% Total : 40.77% | 1-1 @ 10.19% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 6.76% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 3.84% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.37% Total : 23.15% | 1-2 @ 8.02% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 6.05% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 4.21% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.55% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.66% 2-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.96% Total : 36.07% |
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