SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | France | 5 | 11 | 15 |
| 2 | Greece | 5 | 5 | 9 |
| 3 | Netherlands | 4 | 3 | 9 |
| 4 | Republic of Ireland | 5 | -2 | 3 |
| 5 | Gibraltar | 5 | -17 | 0 |
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | France | 5 | 11 | 15 |
| 2 | Greece | 5 | 5 | 9 |
| 3 | Netherlands | 4 | 3 | 9 |
| 4 | Republic of Ireland | 5 | -2 | 3 |
| 5 | Gibraltar | 5 | -17 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Republic of Ireland win with a probability of 44.5%. A win for Greece had a probability of 29.53% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Republic of Ireland win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Greece win was 0-1 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Republic of Ireland | Draw | Greece |
44.5% ( -0.05) | 25.97% ( -0) | 29.53% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 52.28% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.24% ( 0.04) | 51.76% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.47% ( 0.04) | 73.53% ( -0.04) |
| Republic of Ireland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.82% ( -0.01) | 23.17% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.94% ( -0.01) | 57.06% ( 0.01) |
| Greece Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.05% ( 0.06) | 31.95% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.6% ( 0.07) | 68.4% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Republic of Ireland | Draw | Greece |
| 1-0 @ 10.82% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.03% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.91% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.4% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.86% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.51% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.61% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.41% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 2.02% Total : 44.49% | 1-1 @ 12.35% 0-0 @ 7.4% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.97% | 0-1 @ 8.45% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.05% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.82% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.74% Total : 29.53% |
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