SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 41.01%. A win for Ross County had a probability of 34.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Ross County win was 2-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ross County | Draw | Motherwell |
34.22% ( -0.04) | 24.77% ( -0) | 41.01% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 58.18% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.06% ( -0.01) | 44.94% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.7% ( -0.01) | 67.3% ( 0) |
| Ross County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.5% ( -0.03) | 25.5% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.66% ( -0.03) | 60.34% ( 0.03) |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.1% ( 0.01) | 21.9% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.83% ( 0.02) | 55.17% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ross County | Draw | Motherwell |
| 2-1 @ 7.92% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.63% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.22% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.61% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.74% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.38% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.23% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 2.56% Total : 34.22% | 1-1 @ 11.59% 2-2 @ 6.01% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.59% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.77% | 1-2 @ 8.8% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.48% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.44% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.45% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.26% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.04% 1-4 @ 1.69% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.24% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.16% ( 0)Other @ 2.45% Total : 41.01% |
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