SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Qianbao win with a probability of 37%. A win for Shanghai Shenhua had a probability of 35.72% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Qianbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.03%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Shanghai Shenhua win was 1-0 (10.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shanghai Shenhua | Draw | Chengdu Qianbao |
35.72% ( -0.72) | 27.28% ( 0.15) | 37% ( 0.56) |
| Both teams to score 50.02% ( -0.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.51% ( -0.63) | 55.48% ( 0.63) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.33% ( -0.52) | 76.67% ( 0.52) |
| Shanghai Shenhua Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.33% ( -0.75) | 29.66% ( 0.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.29% ( -0.92) | 65.71% ( 0.92) |
| Chengdu Qianbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.11% ( 0.03) | 28.88% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.24% ( 0.04) | 64.75% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shanghai Shenhua | Draw | Chengdu Qianbao |
| 1-0 @ 10.41% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.86% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 6.33% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 3.18% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 2.56% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.44% Total : 35.72% | 1-1 @ 12.93% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 8.57% ( 0.21)2-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.28% | 0-1 @ 10.64% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 8.03% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 6.61% ( 0.17)1-3 @ 3.32% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.61% Total : 37% |
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