SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win with a probability of 40.58%. A win for Henan had a probability of 33.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Henan win was 0-1 (9.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions | Draw | Henan |
40.58% ( 1.31) | 26.26% ( -0.25) | 33.15% ( -1.07) |
| Both teams to score 52.84% ( 0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.28% ( 0.81) | 51.72% ( -0.82) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.5% ( 0.7) | 73.49% ( -0.7) |
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.89% ( 1.08) | 25.11% ( -1.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.19% ( 1.47) | 59.81% ( -1.47) |
| Henan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.56% ( -0.28) | 29.43% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.57% ( -0.35) | 65.43% ( 0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions | Draw | Henan |
| 1-0 @ 10.21% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.63% ( 0.18)2-0 @ 7.06% ( 0.2)3-1 @ 3.98% ( 0.2)3-0 @ 3.25% ( 0.19)3-2 @ 2.43% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 1.37% ( 0.11)4-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.53% Total : 40.58% | 1-1 @ 12.49% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 7.39% ( -0.24)2-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.26% | 0-1 @ 9.04% ( -0.37) 1-2 @ 7.64% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.27)1-3 @ 3.11% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.48% Total : 33.15% |
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