SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartans win with a probability of 48.63%. A win for East Fife had a probability of 26.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartans win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest East Fife win was 0-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Spartans | Draw | East Fife |
48.63% ( 0.05) | 25.33% ( -0) | 26.03% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 51.78% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.76% ( -0.03) | 51.24% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.92% ( -0.03) | 73.08% ( 0.03) |
| Spartans Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.91% ( 0.01) | 21.08% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.09% ( 0.02) | 53.91% ( -0.02) |
| East Fife Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.61% ( -0.06) | 34.39% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.9% ( -0.07) | 71.1% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spartans | Draw | East Fife |
| 1-0 @ 11.28% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.38% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.78% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.87% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.56% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.89% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.77% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 2.49% Total : 48.63% | 1-1 @ 12.04% 0-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.32% | 0-1 @ 7.74% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.43% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.13% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.19% Total : 26.03% |
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