Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 54.96%. A win for Atletico San Luis had a probability of 23.75% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.46%) and 1-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Atletico San Luis win was 1-2 (6.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.
Result | ||
Toluca | Draw | Atletico San Luis |
54.96% ( -0.55) | 21.28% ( 0.17) | 23.75% ( 0.38) |
Both teams to score 63.06% ( -0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.76% ( -0.41) | 35.24% ( 0.41) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.74% ( -0.46) | 57.25% ( 0.45) |
Toluca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.09% ( -0.3) | 12.9% ( 0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.67% ( -0.61) | 39.32% ( 0.61) |
Atletico San Luis Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.4% ( 0.07) | 27.59% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.88% ( 0.09) | 63.11% ( -0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Toluca | Draw | Atletico San Luis |
2-1 @ 9.61% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.46% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.29% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 6.56% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 5.09% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 4.22% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 3.36% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 2.61% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.04) 4-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.22% Total : 54.96% | 1-1 @ 9.39% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 6.19% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.56% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.33% Total : 21.28% | 1-2 @ 6.04% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 4.58% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 2.95% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.66% Total : 23.75% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups: