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Liga MX | Gameweek 14
Oct 29, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez

Toluca
3 - 1
Atletico San Luis

Villegas (18'), Angulo (69', 90+3')
Baeza (52'), Angulo (61'), Villegas (65'), Venegas (85'), Violante (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Zaldivar (83')
Murillo (16'), Dourado (31')
Dourado (45+2')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Atletico San Luis.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Club Leon 1-0 Toluca
Sunday, October 22 at 12am in Liga MX
Last Game: Juarez 3-2 Atletico San Luis
Thursday, October 26 at 4.06am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 54.96%. A win for Atletico San Luis had a probability of 23.75% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.46%) and 1-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Atletico San Luis win was 1-2 (6.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.

Result
TolucaDrawAtletico San Luis
54.96% (-0.553 -0.55) 21.28% (0.175 0.17) 23.75% (0.375 0.38)
Both teams to score 63.06% (-0.154 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.76% (-0.41199999999999 -0.41)35.24% (0.41 0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.74% (-0.458 -0.46)57.25% (0.455 0.45)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.09% (-0.29900000000001 -0.3)12.9% (0.296 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.67% (-0.614 -0.61)39.32% (0.611 0.61)
Atletico San Luis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.4% (0.069000000000003 0.07)27.59% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.88% (0.091000000000001 0.09)63.11% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Toluca 54.96%
    Atletico San Luis 23.75%
    Draw 21.28%
TolucaDrawAtletico San Luis
2-1 @ 9.61% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 7.46% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.29% (0.068 0.07)
3-1 @ 6.56% (-0.074000000000001 -0.07)
3-0 @ 5.09% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-2 @ 4.22% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-1 @ 3.36% (-0.077 -0.08)
4-0 @ 2.61% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-2 @ 2.16% (-0.045 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.38% (-0.048 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.07% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-3 @ 0.93% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 54.96%
1-1 @ 9.39% (0.107 0.11)
2-2 @ 6.19% (0.013 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.56% (0.073 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.81% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 21.28%
1-2 @ 6.04% (0.079999999999999 0.08)
0-1 @ 4.58% (0.103 0.1)
0-2 @ 2.95% (0.072 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.66% (0.01 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.6% (0.04 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.27% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 23.75%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Club Leon 1-0 Toluca
Sunday, October 22 at 12am in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 3-1 Queretaro
Sunday, October 8 at 7pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Tigres 2-2 Toluca
Thursday, October 5 at 4am in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 1-1 Guadalajara
Monday, October 2 at 12.20am in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 1-1 America
Sunday, September 24 at 7pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Tijuana 2-1 Toluca
Saturday, September 16 at 4am in Liga MX
Last Game: Juarez 3-2 Atletico San Luis
Thursday, October 26 at 4.06am in Liga MX
Last Game: Atletico San Luis 4-0 Necaxa
Monday, October 23 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Tijuana 2-1 Atletico San Luis
Monday, October 9 at 4am in Liga MX
Last Game: Atletico San Luis 1-2 Cruz Azul
Saturday, September 30 at 4am in Liga MX
Last Game: Atletico San Luis 3-2 Mazatlan
Saturday, September 23 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Pumas 3-2 Atletico San Luis
Sunday, September 17 at 7pm in Liga MX


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