Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 48.25%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Internacional had a probability of 23.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.74%), while for a Internacional win it was 0-1 (9.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
0.96) 
-1.29) 
