Vitesse are in desperate need of three points to try and improve their league situation, but that alone will not be enough to force a result.
Go Ahead Eagles had too much for the hosts when they faced each other earlier this season, and it is likely that will be the case once again.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 43.54%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 31.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 0-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Go Ahead Eagles would win this match.
-0.21) 
0.17) 
