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FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 7, 2024 at 2pm UK
London Stadium
BC

West Ham
1 - 1
Bristol City

Bowen (4')
Alvarez (45+5'), Ward-Prowse (53')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Conway (61')
Williams (33'), Conway (35'), Pring (60')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Ham 0-0 Brighton
Tuesday, January 2 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Bristol City 0-1 Millwall
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship

We said: West Ham United 2-0 Bristol City

No Premier League outfit is immune from the odd FA Cup shock, but with West Ham producing a string of exemplary defensive performances in recent matches, Moyes's men should experience little trouble en route to the fourth round. Bristol City's failure to make the net bulge against Millwall means it is now back-to-back games without scoring for the Robins, who have not beaten the Irons since 1978 and should be kept waiting for their next such success. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 45.88%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 28.05% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
West Ham UnitedDrawBristol City
45.88% (-0.442 -0.44) 26.07% (0.101 0.1) 28.05% (0.342 0.34)
Both teams to score 51.07% (-0.07 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.1% (-0.202 -0.2)52.9% (0.203 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.49% (-0.172 -0.17)74.51% (0.173 0.17)
West Ham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.99% (-0.292 -0.29)23.01% (0.293 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.18% (-0.43 -0.43)56.82% (0.431 0.43)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.34% (0.16 0.16)33.66% (-0.158 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.69% (0.173 0.17)70.31% (-0.172 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    West Ham United 45.88%
    Bristol City 28.05%
    Draw 26.07%
West Ham UnitedDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 11.37% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.1% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-0 @ 8.36% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
3-1 @ 4.46% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-0 @ 4.09% (-0.074 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.43% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.64% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.5% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 45.88%
1-1 @ 12.39% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 7.74% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.96% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 26.07%
0-1 @ 8.43% (0.104 0.1)
1-2 @ 6.75% (0.054 0.05)
0-2 @ 4.59% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
1-3 @ 2.45% (0.031 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.8% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.67% (0.035 0.04)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 28.05%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: West Ham 0-0 Brighton
Tuesday, January 2 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 0-2 West Ham
Thursday, December 28 at 8.15pm in Premier League
Last Game: West Ham 2-0 Man Utd
Saturday, December 23 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Liverpool 5-1 West Ham
Wednesday, December 20 at 8pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: West Ham 3-0 Wolves
Sunday, December 17 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: West Ham 2-0 Freiburg
Thursday, December 14 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Bristol City 0-1 Millwall
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 0-0 Bristol City
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 1-4 Bristol City
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 3-2 Hull City
Friday, December 22 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 1-0 Sunderland
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 2-1 Bristol City
Tuesday, December 12 at 7.45pm in Championship


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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