Despite Darmstadt finding the net in six of their last 10 road games, Wolfsburg's motivation to secure their top-flight status should see the home support celebrate a win. The Wolves have won three of their five Bundesliga matches under Hasenhuttl, and that should become four in six for a club that have never lost to the Lilies on their turf (two wins, one draw).
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 54.19%. A win for SV Darmstadt 98 had a probability of 23.55% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.61%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest SV Darmstadt 98 win was 1-2 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wolfsburg would win this match.
-1.39) 
0.13) 
