Europa Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 27, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadion Grbavica
Haracic (14'),
Amoah (45+9')
Biber (43'), Ovcina (45+2'), Drina (45+1')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Kosoric (43' og.), Haciyev (90+5')
Saief (45+2')
Coverage of the Europa Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Zeljeznicar and Neftchi Baku.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zeljeznicar win with a probability of 45.65%. A win for Neftchi Baku had a probability of 27.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zeljeznicar win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Neftchi Baku win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result |
| Zeljeznicar | Draw | Neftchi Baku |
45.65% ( 0.1) | 26.68% ( -0.04) | 27.67% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 49% ( 0.05) |
| 44.54% ( 0.09) | 55.46% ( -0.09) |
| 23.35% ( 0.07) | 76.65% ( -0.08) |
| 75.77% ( 0.09) | 24.23% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.42% ( 0.13) | 58.58% ( -0.13) |
| 64.67% ( -0.01) | 35.32% ( 0) |
