Braga
3 - 0
AEK Athens

Galeno (44'), Paulinho (78'), Horta (88')
Sequeira (55'), Carmo (56'), Esgaio (69')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Mantalos (19'), Nedelcearu (34'), Oliveira (67')

Data Analysis

Coverage of the Europa League Group Stage clash between Braga and AEK Athens.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 40.21%. A win for AEK Athens had a probability of 36.84% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.16%) and 2-0 (5.23%). The likeliest AEK Athens win was 1-2 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
Braga	Draw	AEK Athens
40.21%	22.94%	36.84%

Both teams to score 65.5%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.38%

35.61%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.32%

57.67%

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.7%

18.3%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.62%

49.37%

AEK Athens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.17%

19.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.09%

51.91%

Score Analysis

Braga 40.21%

AEK Athens 36.84%

Draw 22.94%

Braga	Draw	AEK Athens
2-1 @ 8.47% 1-0 @ 6.16% 2-0 @ 5.23% 3-1 @ 4.79% 3-2 @ 3.88% 3-0 @ 2.96% 4-1 @ 2.04% 4-2 @ 1.65% 4-0 @ 1.26% Other @ 3.78% Total : 40.21%	1-1 @ 9.97% 2-2 @ 6.85% 0-0 @ 3.63% 3-3 @ 2.09% Other @ 0.4% Total : 22.94%	1-2 @ 8.07% 0-1 @ 5.87% 0-2 @ 4.75% 1-3 @ 4.35% 2-3 @ 3.7% 0-3 @ 2.56% 1-4 @ 1.76% 2-4 @ 1.5% 0-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 3.25% Total : 36.84%